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Nanya Technology Corporation — Investor Presentation 2017
Jun 19, 2017
52061_rns_2017-06-19_b9120de0-61e0-4066-bd8d-8832999beada.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Nanya Technology 2017 Yuanta FHC Asia Investment and Fortune Forum Presentation to Investors & Analysts, June 13[th] , 2017 Joseph Wu, AVP & Deputy Spokesman
April 26, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
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Safe Harbor
The information herein and the presentation made during the conference contain forward-looking statements and are provided for information purposes only.
Neither Nanya Technology Corp. nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forwardlooking statements or undertakes duty to update the statements. You are urged to review the information provided herein carefully, and please don’t distribute, reproduce or disclose the information in whole or in part without prior written permission of NANYA Technology Corp.
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June 13, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Outline
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| 01. | DRAM Industry Landscape |
|---|---|
| 02. | NTC Overview |
| 03. | Business Strategy |
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June 13, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Semiconductor Revenue by Categories
Unit: US$B
| 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 |
Source: Gartner, WSTS 20% 22% 24% 23% 23% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Others Analog Logic CPU Memory Memory(%) |
|
|---|---|---|
-
In 2016, memory products accounted for 23% of semiconductor market
-
In 2017, YoY growth rate of semiconductor is forecasted to be 12.3%
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Memory Market and Outlook
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
DRAM NAND Others
Note: % calculated by respective market revenue Source: WSTS, Gartner, DRAMeXchange
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Memory Market and Outlook
-
DRAM and NAND Flash are 2 key products in memory market
-
DRAM revenue was $41.2B in 2016, expected to exceed $60B in 2017 and 2018
-
Memory market revenue is forecasted approx. $110B in 2017 with 38% YoY
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Stable DRAM Industry Structure
-
Supply side dominated by 3 major suppliers
-
New comers are facing enormous barrier of entry
Since 2013 (3 plus major suppliers)
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Patents Defense
Trade Secrets and
Process Technologies
Complexity of Advanced
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Others
3.5% 2.6%
19.9%
Y2016
market
share
25.8%
48.2%
Source: Gartner, NTC
All other trademarks are property of their respective owners
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Big Data Era / Diversified DRAM Demand
Ongoing growth momentum from smart phone, server and consumer segments
| Smart Phone 39% Server 21% PC 19% DTV 4% Tablet 4% NW 3% Automotive 2% Others 8% Y2017 Demand 22.5B (4Gb eq.) |
Y2017 | Y2017 | YoY(Y2017/Y2016) | YoY(Y2017/Y2016) | YoY(Y2017/Y2016) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QTY (Mu) |
C/B (GB) |
QTY | C/B | Bit Growth |
||
| Smart Phone |
1,521 | 2.8 | 6.5% | 27.3% | 38.7% | |
| Server | 17.5 | 136 | 5.4% | 22.5% | 29.5% | |
| SSD | 185 | 0.35 | 27.6% | 16.7% | 48.9% | |
| Car | 94 | 2.15 | 2.7% | 22.9% | 26.3% | |
| Switch | 239 | 1.36 | 4.4% | 19.3% | 25.1% | |
| DTV | 224 | 2.1 | 1.4% | 17.1% | 18.6% | |
| STB | 302 | 0.6 | 3.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | |
| PC | 269 | 5.6 | 1.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% |
*Others includes STB, Storage (HDD/SSD), Gaming, Graphics, IP Cam, Industrial…
Source: Gartner, IHS, NTC MKT
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June 13, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
| % of unit shipment (4Gb eq.) 15% 7% 3% ~~2%~~ 78% 51% 23% 10% 4% 2% 4% 40% 73% 82% 45% 24% 13% 1% 6% 50% 73% 84% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 512Mb and below 1Gb 2Gb 4Gb 8Gb 8Gb 4Gb 2Gb DRAM Density Trend Forecast |
% of unit shipment (4Gb eq.) 15% 7% 3% ~~2%~~ 78% 51% 23% 10% 4% 2% 4% 40% 73% 82% 45% 24% 13% 1% 6% 50% 73% 84% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 512Mb and below 1Gb 2Gb 4Gb 8Gb 8Gb 4Gb 2Gb DRAM Density Trend Forecast |
% of unit shipment (4Gb eq.) 15% 7% 3% ~~2%~~ 78% 51% 23% 10% 4% 2% 4% 40% 73% 82% 45% 24% 13% 1% 6% 50% 73% 84% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 512Mb and below 1Gb 2Gb 4Gb 8Gb 8Gb 4Gb 2Gb DRAM Density Trend Forecast |
% of unit shipment (4Gb eq.) 15% 7% 3% ~~2%~~ 78% 51% 23% 10% 4% 2% 4% 40% 73% 82% 45% 24% 13% 1% 6% 50% 73% 84% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 512Mb and below 1Gb 2Gb 4Gb 8Gb 8Gb 4Gb 2Gb DRAM Density Trend Forecast |
% of unit shipment (4Gb eq.) 15% 7% 3% ~~2%~~ 78% 51% 23% 10% 4% 2% 4% 40% 73% 82% 45% 24% 13% 1% 6% 50% 73% 84% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 512Mb and below 1Gb 2Gb 4Gb 8Gb 8Gb 4Gb 2Gb DRAM Density Trend Forecast |
% of unit shipment (4Gb eq.) 15% 7% 3% ~~2%~~ 78% 51% 23% 10% 4% 2% 4% 40% 73% 82% 45% 24% 13% 1% 6% 50% 73% 84% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 512Mb and below 1Gb 2Gb 4Gb 8Gb 8Gb 4Gb 2Gb DRAM Density Trend Forecast |
% of unit shipment (4Gb eq.) 15% 7% 3% ~~2%~~ 78% 51% 23% 10% 4% 2% 4% 40% 73% 82% 45% 24% 13% 1% 6% 50% 73% 84% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 512Mb and below 1Gb 2Gb 4Gb 8Gb 8Gb 4Gb 2Gb DRAM Density Trend Forecast |
8% 5% 84% 67% 7% 27% 2019 2020 12/ 16Gb 12/16Gb |
8% 5% 84% 67% 7% 27% 2019 2020 12/ 16Gb 12/16Gb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% 7% 78% 51% 4% 40% |
3% 23% 73% 4Gb 2Gb |
10% 82% 6% |
4% 45% 50% 8Gb |
2% 24% 73% |
13% 84% 1% |
8% 5% 84% 67% 7% 27% 12/16G |
||
| 5% 67% 27% |
||||||||
| ~~2%~~ | ||||||||
| 2012 2013 512Mb and below |
2014 2015 2016 2017 1Gb 2Gb 4Gb |
2018 8Gb |
2019 12/ 16Gb |
Source: Gartner, IHS, & NTC
8Gb as main specification from 2017 and onwards
- Product life of ≤4Gb mid-to-low densities extends due to legacy demand
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Diversified DRAM Specifications
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% of unit shipment Mobile DRAM %
100% 100%
LPDDR5
LPDDR2 21.7%
32.0%
80% LPDDR3 80%
LPDDR4
15.9%
1.6%
60% 60%
31.3%
DDR3
40% 40%
DDR4
41.5%
20% 20%
21.2%
0% 0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Others DDR2 DDR3 DDR4 DDR5
LP DDR2 LP DDR3 LP DDR4 LP DDR5 Mobile DRAM %
Others include GDDR5, Wide I/O(I&II), SDRAM, DDR, & Mobile SDR/DDR Source: Gartner, IHS, & NTC MKT
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Consumer and Automotive to adopt DDR4/LPDDR4 from 2018
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Outline
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| 01. | DRAM Industry Landscape |
|---|---|
| 02. | NTC Overview |
| 03. | Business Strategy |
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June 13, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
| Q1’17 2016 2015 Revenue 12.2B 41.6B 43.9B Gross Profit Gross Margin (%) 4.9B 40.1% 12.9B 30.9% 17.3B 39.4% Operating Income Operating Margin (%) 3.9B 31.5% 8.6B 20.5% 13.5B 30.7% Non-operating Income -0.6B 17.2B 4.2B Net Income Net Margin (%) 3.3B 26.8% 23.7B 57.0% 17.1B 39.1% Capital 27.5B 27.5B 24.3B EPS 1.19 8.67 7.07 NT$B: Billion 2016 & Q1’17 P&L Results |
Q1’17 2016 2015 Revenue 12.2B 41.6B 43.9B Gross Profit Gross Margin (%) 4.9B 40.1% 12.9B 30.9% 17.3B 39.4% Operating Income Operating Margin (%) 3.9B 31.5% 8.6B 20.5% 13.5B 30.7% Non-operating Income -0.6B 17.2B 4.2B Net Income Net Margin (%) 3.3B 26.8% 23.7B 57.0% 17.1B 39.1% Capital 27.5B 27.5B 24.3B EPS 1.19 8.67 7.07 NT$B: Billion 2016 & Q1’17 P&L Results |
Q1’17 2016 2015 Revenue 12.2B 41.6B 43.9B Gross Profit Gross Margin (%) 4.9B 40.1% 12.9B 30.9% 17.3B 39.4% Operating Income Operating Margin (%) 3.9B 31.5% 8.6B 20.5% 13.5B 30.7% Non-operating Income -0.6B 17.2B 4.2B Net Income Net Margin (%) 3.3B 26.8% 23.7B 57.0% 17.1B 39.1% Capital 27.5B 27.5B 24.3B EPS 1.19 8.67 7.07 NT$B: Billion 2016 & Q1’17 P&L Results |
Q1’17 2016 2015 Revenue 12.2B 41.6B 43.9B Gross Profit Gross Margin (%) 4.9B 40.1% 12.9B 30.9% 17.3B 39.4% Operating Income Operating Margin (%) 3.9B 31.5% 8.6B 20.5% 13.5B 30.7% Non-operating Income -0.6B 17.2B 4.2B Net Income Net Margin (%) 3.3B 26.8% 23.7B 57.0% 17.1B 39.1% Capital 27.5B 27.5B 24.3B EPS 1.19 8.67 7.07 NT$B: Billion 2016 & Q1’17 P&L Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| NT$B: Billion | |||
| Q1’17 | 2016 | 2015 | |
| Revenue | 12.2B | 41.6B 12.9B 30.9% 8.6B 20.5% 17.2B 23.7B 57.0% |
43.9B 17.3B 39.4% 13.5B 30.7% 4.2B 17.1B 39.1% |
| Gross Profit Gross Margin (%) |
4.9B 40.1% |
||
| Operating Income Operating Margin (%) |
3.9B 31.5% |
||
| Non-operating Income | -0.6B | ||
| Net Income Net Margin (%) |
3.3B 26.8% |
||
| Capital | 27.5B | 27.5B | 24.3B |
| EPS 1.19 |
8.67 | 7.07 |
Company highlights
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2016 NT$ 23.72B net income of 2016, EPS NT$ 8.67.
-
Q1’17 Net Income of NT$ 3,275M, Net Margin 26.8%, EPS NT$ 1.19
Note: All financial numbers are audited and approved by BoD
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Q1’17 Consolidated Cash Flow
| (Unit: Million NT$) | Q1'17 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beginning Balance | 9,102 | 3,104 | 7,268 |
| Cash from Operating Activities |
5,498 | 15,945 | 18,522 |
| Capital expenditures | -6,147 | -22,336 | -3,842 |
| Long-term & Short-term loans |
9,984* | -6,351 | -14,382 |
| Investments and others | 1,864** | 18,740 | -4,463 |
| Ending Balance | 20,300 | 9,102 | 3,104 |
| Free Cash Flow(1) | -649 | -6,391 | 14,680 |
(1) Free Cash Flow = Cash from operating activities – Capital expenditures
*2016 Net Cash in NT$ 16B, (Disposal of IMI shares(NT$ 47.5B), Acquisition of Micron’s private placement (NT$ 31.5B)). Note: All financial numbers are audited and approved by BoD
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Financial Highlights
Q1’17 Gross Margin back to 40% since Q2’15
Revenue (Million NT$) Net Income (Million NT$) Gross Margin(%)
30,000 70%
49%
[48%] 47% 42% 40.1%
40% [44%] 32.7%
37% 31.1% 31.0%
30% 28.4%
18%
13%
-4%
-30%
-31%
-85%
-30,000 -110%
-102%
Gross Margin (%)
Revenue, Net Income (Million NT$)
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June 13, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
20nm CAPEX & Bit Shipment
CAPEX
BIT SHIPMENT (YOY)
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34.3
Billion NT$
22.3
5.6 5.8
3.8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017(E)
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~45%
20%
16%
down low
-8.6% single digits %
2014 2015 2016 2017(E) 2018(E)
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-
Capital
-
Expenditure (CAPEX)
-
Estimated 2017 CAPEX of NT$ 34.3B
-
Anticipated CAPEX of NT$55.7B for 38K WSPM 20nm migration. (2016 CAPEX NT$ 20.6B for 20nm)
-
20nm CAPEX mainly from: 1. Cash on hand 2. US$500M ECB, 3. Cash from operating activities
Bit
Shipment
-
Q1’17 bit shipment down 14.4%, Q2’17 bit shipment forecast to increase low single digits % and future bit shipment to grow onward
-
2017 bit shipment to decrease low single digits %
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Financial KPI
Debt Ratio
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98.2%
89.3%
60.1%
47.3%
37.5%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
•
Debt ratio 38.9% at the end
of the 31st of March, 2017.
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Dividend for Years
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Cash dividend/per share (NT $)
2.80
2.00
1.50
0 0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
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- Consecutive 3 years stable dividend policy since 2014
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Outline
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| 01. | DRAM Industry Landscape |
|---|---|
| 02. | NTC Overview |
| 03. | Business Strategy |
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Focus on Specialty DRAM Business
Applications
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100%
8.7% PC
~10%
22.4%
26.3%
Commodity 17.4%
Low Power
20~30%
12.3%
7.2%
12.1%
Low Power Auto & IT
6.4%
(Mobile) 4.5% 8~9%
50%
Auto
&
Industrial Consumer
66.7%
& PC
57.1% 58.9%
Peripheral
Consumer
51~62%
&
PC Peripheral
0%
2014 2015 2016 2017(E)
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-
Revenue portion by Application
-
Specialty includes Consumer & PC Peripheral, Auto & Industrial, Low Power
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Nanya Manufacturing Site
New clean room completed in Oct 2016 to facilitate the deployment of advanced technology nodes
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CUB2
SB1 FAB-3A
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20nm Conversion
-
20nm technology to reach 38K WSPM. Total capacity will amount to 68K WSPM
-
20nm verification completed in Q2’17, volume production scheduled for Q3’17,
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30K wafers input expected in Q4’17, cost cross-over anticipated in Q4’17
-
For DDR3, DDR4 & LPDDR4X offerings
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8Gb 8Gb
DDR4 LPDDR4X
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Jul, 2015
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Oct, 2016 Jan, 2017
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2H, 2017
2018
Ground breaking of new HQ and additional 12” Fab for 20nm
Jan. 2017 Piloting of 20nm Starts
-
Ramping up to 38k 1H’18
-
• 8Gb LPDDR4X Mass Production Q3’18
-
New 12” Fab (FAB-3A-N) complete
-
4Gb DDR3 Mass Production Q3’17
-
8Gb DDR4 Mass Production Q4’17
-
Ramping up to 30K Q4’17
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Specialty DRAM Applications
Specialty DRAM widely adopted by consumer, PC peripherals, auto, industrial and IoT
Specialty DRAM demand growth continuously promising
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Office
Home
&
&
Enterprise
Entertainment
DTV / STB NB / DT / NW
DVD/ Pachinko HDD / SSD
IoT / Game Printer / POS
Specialty
DRAM
Automotive Industry
Infotainment Automatic
ADAS NW / IPC
Telematics Infrastructure
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Ke Drivers for S ecialt DRAM y p y
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Now Future 2017~2018 (2019~)
DRAM Content 1GB ~ 3GB 1GB ~ 6GB Driving Force Video & Image DRAM Content 1Gb ~ 4Gb 1Gb ~ 8Gb Driving Force Connectivityy DRAM Content 1Gb ~ 4Gb 1Gb ~ 16Gb ~~128GB 128GB~~ Driving Force 512GB~ 2T~ DRAM Content 2GB ~ 3GB 18GB ~24GB Infotainment ADAS M2M Infotainment ADAS Driving Force
Connectivityy
• Specialty DRAM spec ranging from consumer DRAM, auto/industrial grade and mobile DRAM
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Storage Market Evolution
3D NAND will significantly boost SSD penetration with more DRAM
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Unit: Million
600
HDD SSD
500
400
300
200
100
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
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| DRAM requirement for HDD and SSD: | DRAM requirement for HDD and SSD: | DRAM requirement for HDD and SSD: |
|---|---|---|
| 2017~2018 | 2019~ | |
| HDD | 128Mb ~ 1Gb | |
| SSD | 1Gb ~ 4Gb | 4Gb ~ 16Gb |
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Nanya Specialty DRAM Product Lineup
Comprehensive product portfolio to meet various requirements Long-life support to fulfill customer needs
Technology 30nm 20nm • • DDR/DDR2/DDR3 DDR3/DDR4 • • Spec. LPDDR1/LPDDR2/LPDDR3 LPDDR3/LPDDR4 • • Customized Customized Density 512Mb/1Gb/2Gb/4Gb 2Gb/4Gb/6Gb/8Gb Grade Commercial/Industrial/Automotive Lifecycle Long-life and stable supply
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Key Takeaways
Limited DRAM supply growth 2017, favorable market condition expected
-
Q2’17 ASP guidance up high single digit % QoQ
-
20nm verification completed in Q2’17, mass production scheduled Q3’17
Consumer and Automotive to adopt DDR4/LPDDR4 from 2018, which requires 20nm and beyond for offering
As a dedicated specialty DRAM supplier, Nanya offers a comprehensive portfolio of DRAM solution to our customers
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