AI assistant
Nanya Technology Corporation — Investor Presentation 2017
Mar 20, 2017
52061_rns_2017-03-20_ec94635d-9286-4f7f-9471-ca69703f2f27.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Cathay Securities 1Q2017 Investor Summit
Presentation to Investors & Analysts, March 16[th] , 2017 Joseph Wu, AVP & Deputy Spokesman
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Safe Harbor
The information herein and the presentation made during the conference contain forward-looking statements and are provided for information purposes only.
Neither Nanya Technology Corp. nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forwardlooking statements or undertakes duty to update the statements. You are urged to review the information provided herein carefully, and please don’t distribute, reproduce or disclose the information in whole or in part without prior written permission of NANYA Technology Corp.
2
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Outline
| 01. | DRAM Industry Environment |
|---|---|
| 02. | NTC Overview |
| 03. | Business Strategy |
3
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Oligopoly in DRAM Market
From 2013, DRAM market fluctuation stabilized
1990 (more than 16 suppliers)
==> picture [285 x 11] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [362 x 355] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
2017 (3 plus major suppliers)
others
3.5% 2.6%
19.9%
48.2%
25.8%
Source: Gartner, NTC
Consolidation
----- End of picture text -----
4
All other trademarks are property of their respective owners.
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Rational DRAM Supply Growth
==> picture [666 x 325] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
WW DRAM Wafer Start (K/M, 300mm) WW DRAM Wafer Start (K/M, 300mm)
1,500
WW DRAM Wafer Start (K/M, 300mm)
WW DRAM Wafer Output (K/M, 300mm)
1,304
1,213
1,111
1,098 1,082 1,096
1,058 1,080
1,000
500
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
----- End of picture text -----
Limited supply growth contributed mainly by advanced process conversion
About 20% supply growth in 2017 expected
Source: DRAMeXchange, NTC MKT
5
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Diversification of Demand
22% yoy bit demand increase in 2017 projected
Ongoing growth momentum from cloud computing and mobile applications
==> picture [720 x 422] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Y2016 Y2017 YoY Auto +
Industrial, 0.1%
Consumer
Bit
Unit : QTY(Mu) | C/B(GB) QTY, C/B QTY C/B QTY(Y/Y) C/B(Y/Y) Growth Tablet & others,13.5%
0.2%
Mobile Y2010
Cloud Server 17 110 17.6 133 3.5% 20.9% 25.2% 8.5% PC +
3.8Bn upgrade
modules
Server (4Gb eq) 64.3%
+ WS
11.6%
PC 270 5.1 263 5.6 -2.6% 9.8% 7.0%
Tablet 180 2.1 164 2.6 -8.9% 23.8% 12.8%
P2P
Consumer &
PC + upgrade
Smart Auto + others, 14.6% modules, 18.9%
1,480 2.1 1,482 2.7 0.1% 28.6% 28.7%
Phone Industrial, 3.8%
Tablet, 3.8% Y2017
LCD 21.8Bn
223 1.8 219 2.0 -1.8% 11.1% 9.1%
TV Server +
(4Gb eq) WS, 21.3%
Mobile, 37.5%
M2M Car 91.3 0.6 93.8 2.1 2.7% 250.0% 259.6%
----- End of picture text -----
6
Source: Gartner, IHS, NTC MKT
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
DRAM Essential to New Data Era
==> picture [686 x 447] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
IoT
Servers
Tablets
Phones
IoT,
Wearables
Smart Car
Video
PC Era
SiP
Portable Big
Devices Data
系統級
Smart Home,
記憶體封裝
Smart Office, Main DRAM Features
Main DRAM Features
Smart City
High Density for big data
Low power consumption
High Bandwidth for data transition
High Bandwidth for data transit
Small form factor by stacking
DRAM allotment by application needs
----- End of picture text -----
7
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
DRAM Pricing Fluctuation Stabilized
$/4Gb equiv., PC DRAM
==> picture [673 x 302] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
12.0 2008 ~ 2012 2013 ~ 2016
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0 Source: DRAMexchange, NTC
----- End of picture text -----
- Limited DRAM supply expected in 2017, leads to healthy market condition
8
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
| Outline | Outline |
|---|---|
| 01. | DRAM Industry Environment |
| 02. | NTC Overview |
| 03. | Business Strategy |
9
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Nanya Technology Overview
IDM Company
==> picture [221 x 26] intentionally omitted <==
Technology & Capacity Partnerships
==> picture [221 x 26] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [221 x 26] intentionally omitted <==
-
Founded in 1995, • Technology : • Technology license form MU IPO in 2000
-
• DRAM Process, Design, Starts 20nm piloting in Option rights to license Micron Production & Sales Jan.’17 1x and 1y nm technologies and
-
• Headquarters: Plan to ramp 20nm to 38K products. New Taipei, Taiwan WSPM in 1H’18 •
-
• Shareholding in Micron Employees: >2,600 • Capacity:
-
• Acquired about 5.26% of Focus on value-added DRAM market Current: 60,000 WSPM(12” ) Micron’s share.
-
• Formosa Plastic Group 2018: 68,000 WSPM(12” ) (FPG) has 75.8% equity (38K 20nm + 30K 30nm)
-
ownership
*WSPM: Wafer Starts Per Month
==> picture [68 x 66] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [68 x 66] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [68 x 66] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [66 x 67] intentionally omitted <==
10
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Strong Performance
==> picture [666 x 371] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Net Income(NT$ billion) EPS (NT$)
30 28.2 14
23.7
11.77
20
17.2
8.67
7
7.07
10 8.1
3.40
0 0
Y2013 Y2014 Y2015 Y2016
Net Income
8.1 28.2 17.2 23.7
(NT$ Billion)
EPS(NT$ ) 3.40 11.77 7.07 8.67
----- End of picture text -----
11
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
2016 P&L Results
| NT$B: Billion | NT$B: Billion | NT$B: Billion | NT$B: Billion | NT$B: Billion | NT$B: Billion | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Q1’16 | Q2’16 | Q3’16 | Q4’16 | 2016 | |
| Revenue | 43.9B | 10.4B 3.4B 32.7% 2.6B 25.3% -0.79B 1.8B 18% |
8.9B 2.5B 28.4% 1.7B 18.5% -0.6B 0.4B 4.4% |
10.2B 3.2B 31.1% 1.7B 16.6% -0.3B 1.4B 13.7% |
12.1B 3.8B 31.1% 2.6B 21.2% 18.8B 20.1B 165.9% |
41.6B 12.9B 30.9% 8.6B 20.5% 17.2B 23.7B 57.0% |
| Gross Profit Gross Margin (%) |
17.3B 39.4% |
|||||
| Operating Income Operating Margin (%) |
13.5B 30.7% |
|||||
| Non-operating Income | 4.2B | |||||
| Net Income Net Margin (%) |
17.1B 39.1% |
|||||
| Capital | 24B | 27B | ||||
| EPS 7.07 |
0.68 | 0.14 | 0.51 | 7.33 | 8.67 |
Company highlights in 2016
-
NT$ 23.72B net income of 2016, EPS NT$ 8.67.
-
Shipment increased 20.3% yoy, ASP decreased 22.1% yoy.
-
Recognized NT$ 17.94B from Inotera share disposal.
-
Debt ratio 37.5% at the end of the 31st of Dec, 2016.
12
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Financial Highlights
Q1’17 gross margin likely to improve QoQ due to favorable market condition.
==> picture [605 x 346] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Revenue (Million NT$) Net Income (Million NT$) Gross Margin(%)
30,000 70%
49%
44% [48%] 47% 42%
40% 32.7%
37% 31.1% 31.1%
30% 28.4%
18%
13%
-4%
-30%
-31%
-85%
-30,000
-102%
Revenue, Net Income (Million NT$)
----- End of picture text -----
-110%
13
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Dividend for Y2016
Subject Cash dividend of NT$ 1.5 per common share
BoD Approval
-
BoD approved cash dividend of NT$ 1.5 per common share on 2017/3/9 .
-
• Will be proposed to the AGM for approval scheduled on 2017/5/26
-
Cash yields 3.32% (3/14 closing price NT$ 45.15)
Payout ratio
-
17.3% (NT$ 1.5 / EPS NT$ 8.67)
-
• 70.8% (exclude disposal gain of Inotera, NT$ 1.5 / EPS NT$ 2.12)
-
Exclude disposal gain of Inotera, EPS was NT$ 2.12 (EPS NT$ 8.67 – NT$ 6.55)
Remark
-
Net cash in NT$ 16B (Disposal of IMI shares(NT$ 47.5B), Acquisition of Micron’s private placement (NT$ 31.5B)).
-
Expect NT$ 34.4 billion CAPEX in 2017 for 20nm ramping.
14
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
20nm CAPEX & Bit Shipment
CAPEX
Bit Shipment (YoY)
==> picture [612 x 172] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
NT$19.84B Phase 3
~45%
20%
Phase 1 16%
NT$35.9B
+
Phase 2
Flat down single
-8.6% digits%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017(E) 2018(E)
Y2016 ~ Y2018E
----- End of picture text -----
Capital Expenditure (CAPEX)
-
Anticipated CAPEX of NT$55.74B for 38K WSPM 20nm migration.
-
BoD approved 3rd stage 20nm CAPEX of NT$19.84B. (as of Mar. 9th, 2017)
-
Estimated 2017 CAPEX of NT$ 34.3B
-
2017 CAPEX mainly from: 1. Cash on hand 2. US$5B ECB, 3. Cash from operating activities
Bit Shipment
-
2017 bit shipment down single digits. Bit shipment resume positive(2018 +45% yoy, 2019 +15% yoy).
-
20nm cost per bit expected to cross over by end of 2017
15
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
20nm Plan
-
Plan to convert 38K WSPM to 20nm Technology. Total capacity increase to 68K WSPM.
-
• 20nm volume production schedule in Q3’17, 30K wafers input expected in Q4’17.
-
Cost cross over expected by end of 2017.
-
Initial offering DDR4 & LPDDR4X.
==> picture [672 x 207] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
8Gb 8Gb
DDR4 LPDDR4X
Jul, 2015 Oct, 2016 Jan, 2017 2H, 2017 2018
•
Ground breaking of new HQ Jan. 2017 Piloting of 20nm Starts Ramping up to 38k in 1H’18
and additional 12” Fab for 20nm • 8Gb LPDDR4X Mass
Production in Q3’18
----- End of picture text -----
-
Ramping up to 38k in 1H’18
-
• 8Gb LPDDR4X Mass Production in Q3’18
-
New 12” Fab (FAB-3A-N) complete
-
20nm Volume Production
-
8Gb DDR4 Mass Production in Q4’18
-
Ramping up to 30K in Q4’17
16
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
| Outline | Outline |
|---|---|
| 01. | DRAM Industry Environment |
| 02. | NTC Overview |
| 03. | Business Strategy |
17
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Focus on Specialty DRAM Business
Consumer & Specialty Auto & IT Low Power Commodity
==> picture [704 x 352] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Applications Consumer & Specialty Auto & IT Low Power Commodity
100%
8.7% PC
~10%
22.4%
26.3%
Commodity 17.4%
Low Power
20~30%
12.3%
7.2%
12.1%
Low Power Auto & IT
6.4%
(Mobile) 4.5% 8~9%
50%
Auto &
Industrial grade Consumer
66.7%
& Specialty
57.1% 58.9%
51~62%
Consumer &
Specialty
0%
2014 2015 2016 2017(E)
----- End of picture text -----
* Revenue portion by Application
18
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
DDR4/LPDDR4:Dual Mainstream
% of unit shipment
Mobile DRAM %
==> picture [686 x 348] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
100% 100%
LPDDR5
LPDDR2 21.7%
32.0%
80% LPDDR3 80%
LPDDR4
15.9%
1.6%
60% 60%
31.3%
DDR3
40% 40%
DDR4
41.5%
20% 20%
21.2%
0% 0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Others DDR2 DDR3 DDR4 DDR5
LP DDR2 LP DDR3 LP DDR4 LP DDR5 Mobile DRAM %
Source: Gartner, IHS, & NTC MKT
----- End of picture text -----
*Others include GDDR5, Wide I/O(I&II), SDRAM, DDR, & Mobile SDR/DDR
20nm required for initial DDR4 and LPDDR4 offering.
19
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
DDR4 and LPDDR4 Applications
==> picture [687 x 380] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
DDR4
Consumer
High
Automotive
PC
LP DDR4
Server
Smart
Phone
Low
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Penetration Rate
----- End of picture text -----
Consumer and Automotive to adopt DDR4 and LPDDR4 from 2018.
20
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
NTC Business Focus
High
==> picture [32 x 32] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [28 x 28] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [29 x 29] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [47 x 28] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [30 x 30] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [28 x 28] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [667 x 322] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
2017~
2~3 years : Customized KGD; Automotive and Industrial
Consumer
2013~2016
12~18 months: Component, KGD and SiP
PC
Price Volatility
6 months: Modules
Low 1995~2012
Short Product Development and Customer Engagement Period Long
Business Stability
----- End of picture text -----
Continuously concentrating on premium and longevity markets.
21
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
High Growth from Automotive Demand
| Smart Car Era: 2017~ | Smart Car Era: 2017~ | Smart Car Era: 2017~ |
|---|---|---|
| ADAS (Now) |
Autonomous Driving (2020~) |
|
| DRAM Content / Car | ~3.5GB | Growth by 6X~8X |
| DRAM Drivers | • Infotainment • Connectivity • Adaptive cruise control • Parking assist • 3D navigation |
• Adaptive security system • Artificial Intelligence • Real-time navigation • High definition display |
ADAS & Autonomous Driving to boost automotive DRAM demand.
22
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Comprehensive DRAM Portfolio
==> picture [629 x 376] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Specialty Mobile Auto & IT Custom
•
• DDR4 ~ DDR • LPDDR3 ~ LPDDR DDR4 ~ DDR2 • Foundry
•
• Packaged & SiP • KGD, PoP & MCP LPDDR3 ~ LPDDR • Non-JEDEC DRAM
•
Packaged & KGD
NW
IP Cam
STB
POS
Feature
Smart Phone
HDD Phone Car
Data
IP Cam Printer Card IPC NW
DSC Tablet
----- End of picture text -----
SiP = System in Package
KGD = Known Good Die PoP = Package on Package MCP = Multiple-Chip Package
23
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
Nanya Business Outlook
-
Limited DRAM supply expected in 2017, leads to healthy market condition.
-
Raised Q1’17 ASP guidance up 10-15% QoQ.
-
20nm volume production scheduled Q3’17, target 30K WSPM Q4’17.
-
Target 38K WSPM of 20nm in 1H 2018 to better meet customers’ needs and improve cost structure.
-
DDR4 & LPDDR4 new product engagement.
-
Nanya offers a comprehensive portfolio of DRAM solutions and continues to focus on specialty DRAM business.
-
*WSPM: Wafer Starts Per Month
24
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.
==> picture [325 x 287] intentionally omitted <==
Thanks & Questions
25
March 16, 2017 © 2017 Nanya Technology Corp.